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Analyst Comment

GRK: Turku tramway investment decision approved

By Atte JortikkaAnalyst
GRK Infra

Summary

  • The Turku City Council approved a 12-kilometer tram line project, expected to support GRK's volumes by approximately 190 MEUR in the coming years.
  • The project is contingent on state funding, which historically has been likely if the city secures its own commitment.
  • GRK, part of an alliance with NRC Group, Ramboll, and Sweco, estimates its share of the project at 190 MEUR, with construction expected between 2027 and 2032.
  • The analyst views the news as positive for GRK but notes it does not affect their forecasts or view of the company.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 5/19/2026 at 8:15 am EEST.

Yesterday, the Turku City Council decided that a 12-kilometer tram line will be built in Turku, connecting the Port of Turku, the city center, Kupittaa, and Varissuo. Once launched, the project will support GRK’s volumes by approximately 190 MEUR in the coming years.

The decision was made by a vote of 36–31 and remains contingent on the state committing to fund the project in the upcoming negotiations on land use, housing, and transport agreements. Historically, in our view, state participation in such significant urban development projects has been likely, provided the city secures its own commitment.

Turku Tramway Ltd selected GRK as part of the alliance to be a service provider for the tramway project in March 2024. GRK is part of the alliance as a contractor, alongside NRC Group. Ramboll and Sweco are the project developers. Updated plans and a cost estimate for the tramway project were published at the beginning of the year. GRK estimates its share of the project to be approximately 190 MEUR. Construction of the tramway is expected to take place between 2027 and 2032. Thus, the project's annual revenue impact on the company could computationally be slightly over 30 MEUR. However, we believe that actual construction could begin in 2028 once the state makes a binding financing decision. Therefore, we also believe that GRK's revenue recognition will be weighted toward the years 2028–2032. We consider this news positive for GRK, though it has no impact on our forecasts or view of the company.

GRK Infra operates in the infrastructure sector. The company's core competence includes the implementation of various infrastructure projects, project management of large and small projects and extensive railway expertise. Customers include the state, municipalities and cities as well as the private sector. In addition to the parent company GRK Infra Oyj, the GRK Group includes companies in each country of operation: GRK Suomi Oy in Finland, GRK Eesti AS in Estonia and GRK Sverige AB in Sweden.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures18/05

202526e27e
Revenue872.3874.4946.9
growth-%19.8 %0.2 %8.3 %
EBIT (adj.)58.260.662.2
EBIT-% (adj.)6.7 %6.9 %6.6 %
EPS (adj.)1.171.181.19
Dividend0.530.560.62
Dividend %3.7 %3.2 %3.6 %
P/E (adj.)12.314.714.5
EV/EBITDA4.77.67.2

Forum discussions

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