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Analyst Comment

Kreate expands to Norway

By Atte JortikkaAnalyst
Kreate Group

Summary

  • Kreate has signed a 6 MEUR contract with Skanska for tunnel lining in Norway, marking a strategic entry into the Norwegian market, which is part of Northern Norway's largest road project.
  • The project will be recorded in Kreate's Q1 order book and is seen as an important reference for future growth, despite its moderate size relative to Kreate's estimated 2026 revenue of 445 MEUR.
  • Kreate plans to expand its operations in Norway, initially through Kreate Sverige's branch office, with the potential to establish a subsidiary, enhancing geographical diversification and reducing dependence on Finland.
  • The expansion into Norway leverages Kreate's specialized expertise in tunnel lining, supporting its growth outlook and demonstrating its ability to pursue organic growth across borders.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 03/30/2026 at 08:10 am EEST

Kreate announced on Friday that Kreate Sverige has signed an agreement with Skanska for the interior lining of the Gullberg Tunnel in Norway. The contract, including options, is worth around 6 MEUR, which is relatively small for Kreate's size, but in our opinion, it is a strategically very interesting entry into the Norwegian market. The project strengthens our view of Kreate's ability to scale its confirmed specialized expertise in Sweden to other Nordic countries. The contract will be recorded in the company's Q1 order book. The release does not lead to changes in our estimates, as the project size is moderate relative to Kreate's revenue, which we estimate to be 445 MEUR in 2026.

Strategic entry into the Norwegian market

The won contract is part of Northern Norway's largest road project in history, the OPS E10 Hålogalandsvegen. The contract includes the interior lining of the Gullberg tunnel (3.5 MEUR) and an option for the interior lining of the Hårberg tunnel (2.7 MEUR). Although the contract sum is small in absolute terms, we consider it an important reference and an opening into the Norwegian market for the company. According to Kreate, the volume of tunnel construction in Norway is 5-10 times higher than in Sweden, which offers the company growth potential also in the future.

The company will start operations in Norway through Kreate Sverige's branch office but is already exploring the possibility of establishing a subsidiary in the country. In our view, this signals Kreate's desire to establish a permanent foothold in Norway, which is a logical continuation of the company's expansion into Sweden. Expanding into the Norwegian market expands Kreate's geographical diversification, and reduces its dependence on Finland, although the focus  still remains strongly on its home country.

Scaling specialized expertise supports the growth outlook

Kreate has grown to be the largest player in tunnel lining in Sweden, and the company is now taking the same concept to Norway. Work on the newly announced contract will begin in spring 2026 and will be completed in late fall 2026. The project supports Kreate's strong growth estimate for 2026, when we expect revenue to grow by 41% year-on-year to 445 MEUR. We estimate that growth will be driven particularly by large projects moving into the order book in Finland, as well as the acquisition of SRV Infra (now   Kreate Rock), which gave the company a strong foothold in underground rock construction. We believe that the opening in Norway shows that Kreate can also pursue organic growth by leveraging its niche expertise across national borders. We also see it as a positive that the expansion is taking place within Kreate's area of specialized expertise, which limits the risk of negative surprises.

Kreate Group operates in the infrastructure sector. The company offers a wide range of services in the development of demanding industrial projects. Examples of services include bridge repair and construction, track construction for trains and rails, and mass excavation and crushing of rock for new motorway extensions. The largest operations are conducted around the Nordic market.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures08/02

202526e27e
Revenue315.2445.0490.9
growth-%14.4 %41.2 %10.3 %
EBIT (adj.)10.016.119.5
EBIT-% (adj.)3.2 %3.6 %4.0 %
EPS (adj.)0.711.171.42
Dividend0.600.650.70
Dividend %4.8 %4.6 %5.0 %
P/E (adj.)17.612.19.9
EV/EBITDA7.76.25.4

Forum discussions

I was just calculating the same thing in my head. So, the 2026 result will be at least at the level of Inderes’s 2027 forecast, which is €1....
3 hours ago
by IMATION
1
This was a relatively big positive surprise to an already strong guidance. I gathered from the release that the consolidation of KFS would impact...
3 hours ago
by Karhu Hylje
13
Let’s add Ate’s comments on Kreate’s new Norwegian contract here as well. Kreate announced on Friday that Kreate Sverige has signed a contract...
5 hours ago
by Sijoittaja-alokas
10
Atte already commented on the positive earnings revision: Inderes Kreate: Näkymä vuodelle selvästi odotuksiamme vahvempi - Inderes Pidämme ohjeistukse...
6 hours ago
by Jussi
5
Great news to start the week! Inside information, profit warning: Kreate raises its revenue and EBITA guidance: due to good performance in the...
6 hours ago
by Kaiku
16
CEO’s review of yesterday’s Annual General Meeting! Inderes Kreaten yhtiökokous | Toimitusjohtajan katsaus 26.3.2026 - Inderes Aika: 27.03.2026...
3/27/2026, 10:25 AM
by Sara Antonacci
10
Kreate Sverige AB has signed a contract with Skanska Norge AS for the internal lining of the Gullberg Tunnel in Lofoten, which is part of the...
3/27/2026, 10:22 AM
by Warren
13
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