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Analyst Comment

Norrhydro Group Q4’25 flash comment: Profitability developed strongly

By Pauli LohiAnalyst
Norrhydro Group

Summary

  • Norrhydro Group's Q4 revenue was 7.7 MEUR, reflecting a 16% increase from the previous year, though slightly below the forecasted 20% growth.
  • Profitability exceeded expectations, with Q4 EBITDA at 0.91 MEUR and EBIT at 0.58 MEUR, driven by volume scalability and efficiency measures.
  • The company's net debt decreased to 9.1 MEUR, and the Board proposes a capital return of EUR 0.04 per share.
  • For 2026, Norrhydro anticipates revenue growth of 5-11% and EBITDA between 3-4 MEUR, aligning with analyst forecasts.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Estimates Q4'24Q4'25Q4'25Difference (%)2025
MEUR / EUR ComparisonActualizedInderesAct. vs. InderesInderes
Revenue 6.657.78.0-3%28.9
EBITDA 0.490.910.847%2.6
EBIT 0.150.580.5212%1.3
PTP -0.170.310.1967%0.1
EPS (reported) 0.0250.0280.01765%0.01
       
Revenue growth-% -16.2%19.7%-3.5 pp19.4%
EBIT-% 2.3%7.5%6.5%1 pp4.5%

Source: Inderes

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 2/19/2026 at 9:23 am EET.

Norrhydro Group released its Q4 earnings report today. The report was slightly stronger than our expectations in terms of earnings and cash flow, even though revenue growth was a bit below our forecast. The company's 2026 guidance and comments largely met our expectations, and this, combined with the strong Q4 result, significantly reduces forecasting uncertainty.

Revenue grew significantly at the end of the year

Q4 revenue was 7.7 MEUR, an increase of 16% from the comparison period. Revenue was thus slightly — but not significantly — below our estimate (we estimated 20% growth). The company sees demand recovering in certain industries, which we estimate include mining and material handling. At the same time, a few key customer segments, such as the forest and construction sectors, are still suffering from a weak market situation, in our view.

Profitability developed strongly

The earnings lines developed slightly stronger than our forecasts, and significantly stronger relative to revenue. The earnings improvement was primarily due to the scalability of volumes, but also influenced by efficiency measures implemented in recent years. Q4 EBITDA was 0.91 MEUR (we estimated 0.84 MEUR) and EBIT was 0.58 MEUR (we estimated 0.52 MEUR). EBITDA nearly doubled year-on-year (Q4’24 EBITDA: 0.49 MEUR), and the relative EBITDA margin improved to 11.7% (Q4’24: 7.4%). The result was supported by a strong gross margin and lower personnel costs than estimated. The material margin improved to 49.9% from a weak comparison period level (we estimated 49.5%, Q4’24: 44.0%). Financing costs were also slightly lower than our forecasts, which supported the net result (Q4'25 net result: 0.31 MEUR).

Cash flow slightly above forecast, authorization for capital repayment to be continued

The company's net debt at year-end was 9.1 MEUR, slightly lower than our forecast (9.4 MEUR), and decreased year-on-year (2024: 9.6 MEUR). The Board proposes an authorization for a capital return of EUR 0.04 per share at the Board's discretion. A corresponding authorization has been in effect since the previous Annual General Meeting.

Favorable development is expected to continue

The company expects profitable growth to continue in 2026. The guidance expects revenue of 30-32 MEUR (growth of 5-11%) and EBITDA of 3-4 MEUR (2025: 2.65 MEUR). Our latest forecasts are for revenue of 31.6 MEUR and EBITDA of 3.5 MEUR, which are within the guidance ranges. The company expects "a quiet recovery to continue" in terms of market demand. Sales and tender activity are increasing, and the company plans to boost sales efforts in the current year. At the same time, cost-saving projects will continue. In addition to conventional cylinders, the company expects sales of NorrDigi EMA electromechanical cylinders to grow this year (and in the coming years). Regarding the NorrDigi MCC excavator application, tests are still ongoing, which somewhat limits visibility. Our growth forecasts for 2026 have been primarily based on conventional cylinders, and we consider the company's comments on NorrDigi to be in line with our expectations.

Norrhydro Group operates in the industrial sector. The company specializes in the manufacture of hydraulic cylinders. In addition to its main operations, the company is engaged in research and development. Customers are found in various sectors, with the greatest concentration in the industrial sector. Norrhydro Group operates primarily in the Nordic region and has its headquarters in Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures2025-12-02

202425e26e
Revenue24.228.931.6
growth-%-20.2 %19.4 %9.1 %
EBIT (adj.)-0.01.42.1
EBIT-% (adj.)-0.1 %4.7 %6.7 %
EPS (adj.)-0.110.020.08
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)neg.73.514.8
EV/EBITDA21.89.06.4

Forum discussions

Trygg has been selling large batches quite regularly; apparently, they want to reduce risk if the majority of their assets are tied up in a ...
5/26/2026, 4:10 PM
by jps
3
Thanks @Yrjo_Trog_Norrhydro for the clarification. In the Q4’25 interview video below, at the “07:20 Financial position” mark, you indeed only...
5/11/2026, 4:48 PM
by R-o-E
9
It has never been stated that the convertible bond (VVK) must be paid off before dividend payments. Our priority remains on debt repayment despite...
5/11/2026, 3:26 PM
by Yrjö Trög, Norrhydro toimitusjohtaja
23
Thank you @Yrjo_Trog_Norrhydro for the response. It’s good that you reminded us that the convertible loan “can still be repaid prematurely, ...
5/11/2026, 2:52 PM
by R-o-E
4
No new convertible loan was issued here; this was simply an amendment to the repayment terms of the existing loan. There are no changes in other...
5/11/2026, 2:14 PM
by Yrjö Trög, Norrhydro toimitusjohtaja
17
Below are Inderes’ comments regarding the changes to the terms of the convertible bond. Inderes – 11 May 26 Norrhydro: Vaihtovelkakirjan ehtomuutos...
5/11/2026, 1:46 PM
by R-o-E
3
Here are Antti’s thoughts on Norrhydro’s peculiar moves Norrhydro’s Board of Directors has decided to pay a capital repayment of EUR 0.02 per...
5/11/2026, 5:24 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
5