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Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.

Revenio: Subscription price fell short of expectations – Mechanical pressure on per-share figures

REG1VAnalyst Comment2026-09-22 08:23
Juha KinnunenAnalyst
Discuss

Summary

  • Revenio announced a rights offering of approximately 80 MEUR to repay the Visionix acquisition bridge financing, with a subscription price of EUR 6.19, lower than the anticipated EUR 10.0.
  • The rights issue will result in the issuance of approximately 12.9 million new shares, creating mechanical downward pressure on per-share metrics like EPS and DCF value, but not affecting the company's fundamental value.
  • The offering is fully underwritten, with major shareholders committed to subscribing for 31.4% of the shares, and Nordea underwriting the remainder, ensuring the strengthening of the company's balance sheet.
  • The lower subscription price results in a more valuable subscription right, affecting only shareholders who do not participate or sell their rights, while those who do are not financially impacted by the dilution.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 9/22/2026 at 7:00 am EEST.

As expected, Revenio announced the terms of its rights offering of around 80 MEUR on Monday. The size and purpose of the rights issue – the repayment of the Visionix acquisition bridge financing – were already known, but the subscription price of EUR 6.19 came in well below our EUR 10.0 assumption. This means that the company will issue more new shares than we expected, which creates mechanical downward pressure on our per-share forecasts and target price. However, the lower subscription price has no impact on the fundamental value or operational performance of the company itself.

Terms and schedule of rights issue

The company is offering a maximum of approximately 12.9 million new shares at a subscription price of EUR 6.19. Shareholders will receive one subscription right for each share owned on the record date of September 23, 2026, and nine subscription rights entitle the holder to subscribe for four new shares. The subscription price includes a discount typical of rights issues, which is approximately 43.8% relative to the theoretical ex-rights price (TERP) of the share. The discount was higher than we anticipated. The subscription period begins on September 28, 2026, and ends on October 12, 2026.

As previously known, the rights issue is fully underwritten. The main shareholder William Demant, Caravelle Capital, and the other Visionix sellers have committed to subscribing for approximately 31.4% of the shares, and Nordea has underwritten the rest. The net proceeds of ~77 MEUR raised in the offering will be used to repay the 80 MEUR bridge financing drawn in connection with the Visionix acquisition, which strengthens the company's balance sheet structure in line with our expectations. At the same time, this means that the costs related to the share issue are estimated to be around 3 MEUR.

Lower subscription price mechanically dilutes per-share metrics

We had previously modeled the rights issue to take place at a subscription price of EUR 10.0, in which case approximately 8.0 million new shares would have been issued. At the now confirmed price of EUR 6.19, a maximum of ~12.9 million new shares will be issued, which is significantly more than we assumed. Since the size of the share issue remains unchanged, the lower subscription price does not affect the total value of the company; rather, it simply distributes the same value across a larger number of shares. This mechanically lowers our per-share figures, such as earnings per share (EPS) and the DCF value, by more than we had previously estimated.

We will update our per-share forecasts to reflect the new number of shares. However, we remind you that the subscription price has no financial significance for a shareholder who subscribes for their pro-rata share in the offering or sells their subscription rights on the market. A lower subscription price merely means a more valuable subscription right, and the dilution affects only those shareholders who fail to react to the offering altogether. A shareholder who either subscribes for their proportional share or sells their subscription rights does not suffer dilution. In this case, the level of the subscription price has no practical significance for them. The growing number of shares and our declining per-share forecasts are therefore purely mechanical in nature and do not indicate a weakening of the company's fundamental value or operational performance.

Revenio is a global provider of comprehensive eye care diagnostic solutions. The group offers fast, user-friendly, and reliable tools for diagnosing glaucoma, diabetic retinopathy, and macular degeneration (AMD). Revenio’s ophthalmic diagnostic solutions include intraocular pressure (IOP) measurement devices (tonometers), fundus imaging devices, and perimeters as well as software solutions under the iCare brand. In 2023, the Group’s net sales totaled EUR 96.6 million, with an operating profit of EUR 26.3 million. Revenio Group Corporation is listed on Nasdaq Helsinki with the trading code REG1V.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures09/09

202526e27e
Revenue109.7200.2269.6
growth-%6.0 %82.5 %34.7 %
EBIT (adj.)26.532.244.8
EBIT-% (adj.)24.2 %16.1 %16.6 %
EPS (adj.)0.580.580.64
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)27.718.616.9
EV/EBITDA16.720.211.6

Forum discussions

The corrected figures appear to be in OP’s document: 13.00eur, 10.90eur, and 2.10eur (timestamp 10:17)
12 hours ago
by veronmaksaja
2
I bought some myself at yesterday’s closing price of 13.12 per share. Just like everyone else who bought and sold at yesterday’s close. OP incorrectly...
13 hours ago
by pottukoira
3
Congratulations to OP’s customers, their stocks are up much more today than anyone else’s.
13 hours ago
by JuhaK
6
Kauppalehti does not take into account those 3 million euro issuance costs, which do not remain in the company’s value. In this particular case...
13 hours ago
by Opa
3
That was actually said tongue-in-cheek by Critter. OP messed up their own calculations with the wrong closing price. Quite sloppy carelessness...
13 hours ago
by Karhu Hylje
19
Quite interesting that OP, different figures than Kauppalehti.
13 hours ago
by Koala
0
Generally speaking, it’s perhaps foolish to calculate it yourself and spend time on it when you can just wait for OP’s morning review (aamukatsaus...
13 hours ago
by Critter
3