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Research

Asetek (One-pager): Near-term downgrade with Q3 2025, but mid-term outlook strengthened

By Philip CoombesEquity Research Analyst
Asetek
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Summary

  • Asetek reported Q3 2025 revenue of USD 9.8m, a 20% decrease year-over-year, with a gross margin increase to 42% from 36%.
  • The company downgraded its near-term 2025 guidance, projecting revenue around USD 41m and an adjusted EBITDA margin of -3% to -5%, due to softer OEM demand and U.S. import tariffs affecting SimSports.
  • Despite short-term challenges, Asetek's mid-term outlook is strengthened by a new OEM agreement with a minimum USD 35m commitment over two years, with shipments starting in 2026.
  • Mid-term targets include Liquid Cooling revenue above USD 65m with an adjusted EBITDA margin above 25%, and SimSports revenue above USD 50m with single-digit EBITDA margins, although tariff challenges persist.

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Read the latest Asetek One-Pager following the Q3 2025 results and updated outlook for both the Liquid Cooling and SimSports segments.

Asetek reported Q3 revenue of USD 9.8m (-20% y/y) and a gross margin of 42% (up from 36%), while reiterating that near-term challenges are driven by softer OEM demand and U.S. import tariffs impacting SimSports. Despite the short-term downgrade to 2025 guidance (revenue around USD 41m; adj. EBITDA margin -3% to -5%), management reaffirmed a stronger mid-term trajectory, supported by a major new OEM agreement with a minimum USD 35m commitment over two years and shipments beginning in 2026.

The company maintains its mid-term Liquid Cooling target above USD 65m (from >USD 50m) and an adj. EBITDA margin above 25%, while SimSports continues to target revenues above USD 50m with single-digit EBITDA margins as new products scale and market access broadens, but tariff headwinds remain significant.

Disclaimer: HC Andersen Capital receives payment from Asetek for a Digital IR/corporate visibility agreement. / Philip Coombes, 10:34 05.11.2025

Asetek is a global leader within liquid cooling solutions for high-end PC’s and also produces high-end equipment for SimSports. Asetek was listed on the OBX Oslo Stock Exchange in 2013. Asetek’s liquid cooling of high-end PC’s and eSports enthusiasts is its largest segment. Its sealed loop liquid cooler supports the thermal challenges of the computers and can also be implemented at data centers to provide significant energy savings and recapturing of heat against the air cooling industry norm; however, this segment remains relatively smaller. In 2021 Asetek made its first expansion into the SimSports Gaming market with its high-end SimRacing pedals, designed to create an immersive experience for sim racers. Asetek plans to expand further into the SimRacing value chain with ambitions to release wheelbases, steering wheels, shifters, and other end-user customization options.

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