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Research

Aspo: Situation in the Eastern market significantly deteriorated

Aspo
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The Russian attack on Ukraine significantly weakens the company's operating conditions in the Eastern market and we have lowered our forecasts. Currently, making forecasts is exceptionally difficult when visibility is very low. Although Asco has excellent evidence of navigating past crises, the current crisis is quite different in scale. Even with forecast decreases, the share price remains favorable, but in the light of the required return that has clearly increased due to the crisis, it’s difficult for us to see any upside in the share, especially as earnings growth turns negative. Therefore, the return/risk ratio has turned neutral as a result of significantly increased risks.

Aspo operates in the transport and logistics industry. The company is run as a conglomerate with the vision of being an active player in the acquisition and development of companies, mainly in the growth markets of Eastern Europe. The industries in which the company has interests include, for example, the grocery retail, industry, and the IT sector. The headquarters are located in Helsinki.

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Key Estimate Figures2022-02-27

202122e23e
Revenue586.4569.1580.2
growth-%17.1 %-3.0 %1.9 %
EBIT (adj.)42.438.140.5
EBIT-% (adj.)7.2 %6.7 %7.0 %
EPS (adj.)1.020.931.02
Dividend0.450.460.47
Dividend %4.0 %7.0 %7.1 %
P/E (adj.)11.17.16.5
EV/EBITDA8.65.45.4

Forum discussions

Sijoituskästi has made a 2.5-minute video about Aspo and its “demerger” https://x.com/STNXfi/status/1996969391657718215 Link for non-X users...
12/5/2025, 4:12 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Aspo’s Rolf Jansson was presenting their company as an investment target at the Sijoittaja 2025 event. Inderes Aspo sijoituskohteena | Sijoittaja...
11/28/2025, 3:01 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Jussi Halme has made a pretty good video about Aspo. When a nearly hundred-year-old listed company decides to split itself into two parts, investors...
11/18/2025, 5:09 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
4
It looks like the CEO is now scooping up shares a bit more aggressively.. ESL will probably be sold off soon and we’ll focus on Telko..
11/7/2025, 8:12 AM
by Tunturisusi
11
Aspo’s CEO has bought several batches of shares after the earnings release. Last week, after years, I also opened an Aspo position myself, as...
11/6/2025, 1:59 PM
by Thiebault
11
Kassu has made a new company report on Aspo after the Q3 earnings were out. Aspo’s Q3 result was largely in line with expectations. However,...
11/4/2025, 6:46 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
6
Kasper interviewed CEO Rolf Jansson after the Q3 results. Inderes Aspo Q3'25: Strategisia askeleita eteenpäin - Inderes Aika: 03.11.2025 klo...
11/3/2025, 3:38 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
7
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