Strong prerequisites for a turnaround

By Inderes
We raise our recommendation to Accumulate (previous Reduce) and raise our target price to 3,0 euro (previous 2,6 euro). SRV’s result development has been weak in recent years, especially due to cost overrun in large projects and a weakening Russian ruble. We estimate that SRV’s result will turn to strong growth over the next 12 months as the flow of rental income from shopping malls strengthen, the margin structure of contracting becomes healthier, and the net sales of SRV’s developer contracted housing projects turns to growth. We see upside potential in the share compared to the result forecasts, equity book value, and sum of parts but the high risk level and emergent economic turn depress the valuation indicators.