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Summary
Transcript
  • In Q3, Norrhydro reported revenue growth and a doubling of EBITDA year on year; the improvement is explained by operational leverage, the impact of fixed costs, productivity and cost savings, and the recovery of the sales mix following Q2.
  • Price increases related to raw material and cost inflation were partially passed on to prices following the impacts of Q2, but the delivery landscape now points to a calmer situation; however, prolonged geopolitical uncertainty could drive up costs next year.
  • Demand has normalized after Q2 inventory reductions, but uncertainty persists and order and sales cycles have shortened, which may impact revenue. The balance sheet has strengthened, and net debt has decreased by around 1.8 MEUR, but liquidity is limited and the growth of accounts receivable is slowing down cash conversion.
  • The NorrDigi business is growing and, according to the company's estimate, will generate more revenue compared to next year, but it will not yet become a significant part of the group's revenue; prototype orders from the defense sector and ongoing negotiations are promising.

This content is AI-generated from a video transcript and automatically translated from Finnish. Give feedback in the Inderes forum.

Disclaimer: This is a machine-generated transcript and may contain inaccuracies.

PL
Pauli Lohi
00:00 - 00:12

Greetings to Inderes TV viewers. Norrhydro Group reported its Q3 earnings release today, and I have the company's CEO Yrjö Trög in an interview. Welcome to the interview, Yrjö.

YT
Yrjö Trög
00:13 - 00:15

Good morning and thank you.

PL
Pauli Lohi
00:16 - 00:30

Indeed, Norrhydro. Sales increased in Q3 and EBITDA even doubled year on year. Where did this development stem from, and particularly by what means have you improved margin so significantly?

YT
Yrjö Trög
00:31 - 01:06

One thing is of course clear, that our operating leverage is such that when sales increase, it boosts our EBITDA. Because we still have quite a lot of fixed costs that do not increase as sales grow. So that has a big impact. And the second thing is also that we have worked on the productivity side, meaning we have achieved productivity and decreased production costs, and otherwise also achieved some savings on the cost side overall. So purposeful work has been done, and they gradually deliver earnings all the time. Then.

PL
Pauli Lohi
01:09 - 01:23

Yeah. Do you expect these cost-side measures to support that margin in the coming quarters as well? Or was there something exceptional in this quarter? For example, regarding the mix of sales or the timing of some costs?

YT
Yrjö Trög
01:25 - 01:42

Well, yes, absolutely. I mean yes, compared to Q2 of course. Those went a bit the other way, so there was a bit of a bounce back then perhaps to some extent. The sales mix also affected that improvement in margin, but particularly these measures and the sales growth then.

PL
Pauli Lohi
01:43 - 01:59

Yeah, there has been a lot of talk about the acceleration of cost inflation. Not perhaps so much related to you, but generally due to these geopolitical reasons. But is it? Has it significantly affected your own costs yet? And do you have a perspective on this going forward?

YT
Yrjö Trög
02:00 - 02:32

Well yes, things are quiet right now. Q2 already came. So back when this Iran war started, there were quite a few increases in raw materials and other things. And of course we have then passed those on to prices. Increases to prices as well. Right now the situation is calm, and the message from a lot of our supplier base is that at least for the rest of the year there are no cost pressures, meaning the ones that have happened, those costs have risen. Of course if this situation continues longer, it might be that then some kind of cost impacts will start coming from there for next year.

PL
Pauli Lohi
02:32 - 02:37

But you have nevertheless managed to maintain that margin there despite these.

YT
Yrjö Trög
02:37 - 02:38

Yes, exactly.

PL
Pauli Lohi
02:38 - 02:51

Yeah yeah. Well then, looking at the demand side. Could you elaborate a bit on this recent development and how? How has demand developed since the publication of that Q2 results report?

YT
Yrjö Trög
02:53 - 03:46

Well yes. That Q2, we talked about that then. There were quite a lot of inventory decreases among customers, and everyone was afraid of a recession. And now we have returned to a normal situation. So in that regard, the situation has naturally normalized. But it is still visible. Meaning in such a way that there is a lot of uncertainty, and particularly in certain sectors that uncertainty is very visible, and sales cycles have become very short.

So for example, even right now we are still selling November, whereas in a normal situation November would usually already be fully sold in. And December is also far along. But but. Customers are also ordering with a quite short cycle now. Actually they find from our contracts. We go utilizing almost the minimum times. And this is the situation that causes the cycles to be quite short in many segments.

PL
Pauli Lohi
03:47 - 04:01

Yeah, that was an interesting point and probably speaks to the uncertainty on the customers' side. The forestry and construction sectors have been subdued in recent years, but what does this situation look like now? Is there any recovery in sight?

YT
Yrjö Trög
04:02 - 04:32

Regarding construction, one can say that perhaps the bottom has been reached and we have come up a little, but the construction sector is still. It is still at a very low level in terms of volumes, but the worst trough has been passed. On the forestry side there are still a lot of uncertainties, which affects the contracting side, and partly related to construction is also that if construction does not take off, there is less need for wood for the sawmills and so on. So indeed in the forestry sector that uncertainty seems to continue.

PL
Pauli Lohi
04:34 - 04:50

Yes, and indeed you mentioned those short ordering cycles, and you highlighted in the report as well that these customer-specific order outlooks can change rapidly. Do you see this causing some kind of uncertainty regarding your guicance for this year?

YT
Yrjö Trög
04:52 - 05:09

Well well, if it affects, it affects sales of course. It could be then, if it happens that there is. Very significant. A decline in orders still for the year-end compared to what the estimates are, but regarding margin we are at least currently in a quite strong position regarding that.

PL
Pauli Lohi
05:10 - 05:35

Yeah, well then. The balance sheet position has overall moved in a good direction and net debt has decreased by 1.8 million euros over the past year. From that, perhaps something else I would also like to bring up is that the liquidity in terms of cash and facilities is quite limited. Do you have, so to speak, sufficient flexibilities available regarding liquidity, should you need, for example, more working capital?

YT
Yrjö Trög
05:37 - 06:17

Well yes, of course that was perhaps just at the end of September the situation. Of course we had quite a lot of goods in inventory for the autumn, so that will be released from there during this year-end. Another thing we have is that our trade receivables have grown. We changed partner on that side last spring, as we sell these receivables quite a lot, so they have a different way of operating and that has increased our trade receivables. So the cash circulation has slowed down towards us. That partly affects.

So now of course we are thinking and looking at solutions to get back to the same cash circulation as before, and that also affects. It will then ease that situation.

PL
Pauli Lohi
06:18 - 06:41

Yes, regarding NorrDigi, you also mentioned in the report that you have prototype orders on the electric cylinder side from the defense sector, as well as ongoing negotiations for larger orders. Do you expect NorrDigi to generate significant revenue for the company, for instance, during next year?

YT
Yrjö Trög
06:43 - 07:14

Well, yes, in my view it will certainly generate more revenue than this year, so it is growing. That part of the business. However, it will not yet make up a significant share of the overall business, as those projects always progress slowly there too. But then once things move into volume and series production, more and more orders will keep coming in. So. But it is definitely growing, and a special focus is being put on it right now, and there are a lot of good negotiations underway.

PL
Pauli Lohi
07:15 - 07:32

Right, but overall it sounds like you have managed to navigate this turbulent market quite well, and you are heading towards your guidance. Thank you, Yrjö, for this interview, and let's talk again next quarter.

YT
Yrjö Trög
07:32 - 07:35

All right, thank you and have a great autumn!

Norrhydro Group Q3'26: EBITDA doubled

NORRH2026-10-21 09:53
Pauli LohiAnalyst
Discuss

Automatic translation from Finnish. Give feedback in the Inderes forum.

Norrhydro Group released Q3 results that were stronger than expected today. Norrhydro's revenue grew by 8%, which was in line with our estimate, but EBITDA was 1.05 MEUR, doubling from the comparison period (Q3'25: 0.52 MEUR). EBIT also grew to 0.73 MEUR (Q3'25: 0.20 MEUR). The bottom-line figures clearly beat our estimates, as we expected earnings to remain at the level of the comparison period, which we found strong. CEO Yrjö Trög comments on the earnings in an interview with analyst Pauli Lohi. Topics: (00:17) Revenue grew and EBITDA doubled in Q3 (01:10) Cost side and sales mix (01:46) Cost inflation (02:40) Demand situation (03:53) Demand situation in the forestry and construction sectors (04:34) Customer-specific order outlook (05:11) Net debt has decreased (06:20) NorrDigi

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