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Analyst Comment

Tecnotree wins a new customer from Papua New Guinea

By Roni PeuranheimoAnalyst
Tecnotree

Translation: Original comment published in Finnish on 9/28/2023 at 7:27 am EEST.

Tecnotree announced that it has signed a new digital transformation agreement with Telikom Limited from Papua New Guinea. The press release did not mention the value of the order, but we do not consider it to be particularly large as it was a press release. The order now received does not cause estimate revisions but contributes to the growth outlook we project for Tecnotree in the coming years.

Telikom Limited is one of the leading telecommunications companies in the South Pacific, providing fixed and mobile services in Papua New Guinea. With the signed agreement, Tecnotree will provide Telikom with its BSS Edge platform, which will enable Telikom to better manage the lifecycle of its customers and integrate its different businesses. Overall, Tecnotree's BSS Edge gives Telikom the tools to improve its customer experience and enhance its monetization capabilities.

The exact structure of the order was not disclosed in the press release. For license-based orders, typically about half of the order consists of a license (payable immediately) and half of a deployment (payable typically within 12 months). However, Tecnotree has increasingly focused its sales on an ARR model, where revenue is generated gradually over a longer period of time. Regardless of the delivery model, the repatriation of new orders in Q3 (other comments here and here) is obviously positive for the company, as we consider the risks to the demand outlook to be somewhat elevated. One sign of this was the slowdown in order flow during H1 and a slight year-on-year decline in the order book at the end of Q2'23 (Q2'23: EUR 68.4, -6%). However, the shift to the ARR model may partly explain the slowdown in the order flow, as there are fewer larger individual orders to be filled at once.

Tecnotree operates in the IT sector. The company specializes in the development of digital communication solutions. The services include, for example, business process services and subscription management for corporate customers in telecom and other digital service providers. Operations are held on a global level, with the largest presence in Asia, Africa and the Middle East.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures2023-08-07

202223e24e
Revenue71.677.383.2
growth-%11.5 %8.0 %7.6 %
EBIT (adj.)18.321.524.9
EBIT-% (adj.)25.6 %27.8 %29.9 %
EPS (adj.)0.740.841.09
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)16.85.03.9
EV/EBITDA9.42.41.6

Forum discussions

The main owner seems to be quite all in. Because the loan has to be paid back sometime. Hopefully with cash flows or exits. Tecnotree is recruiting...
12/5/2025, 9:11 PM
by Junnu
3
Fitzroy goes bankrupt and the bank oversees the holdings… …but hopefully this VVK uncertainty will soon be resolved and taken off the agenda...
12/5/2025, 6:40 AM
by Arvuuttaja
1
This is true, but only for a moment until… And the goal moves. But it is certain that some people know something significant that the “windbreakers...
12/5/2025, 6:20 AM
by Construct-Destruct
4
3,074,650 shares have been pledged, i.e., worth approximately €13M. If the funds are used to implement VVK and if it were implemented in full...
12/4/2025, 9:38 PM
by Noob-King39
2
It’s an interesting scenario in itself if the company were to buy its own shares, and how high would the price rise? Currently, there is 21 ...
12/4/2025, 4:10 PM
by kovatuotto
5
Fitzroy has also pledged the 45 convertible capital notes (VVKs) it paid for a month ago. Tecnotree Oyj - Management transactions It is certain...
12/4/2025, 2:56 PM
by MoneyWalker
28
Tecnotree Tecnotree Oyj - Johdon liiketoimet Fitzroy has pledged its shares. Could there still be VVK subscriptions coming?
12/4/2025, 1:44 PM
by Junnu
6
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