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Research

Neste: Margins remain impressive

By Petri GostowskiCo. Head of Research
Neste
Download report (PDF)

The Q4 result reported by Neste yesterday was a smidgen better than our expectations, which was due to Renewable Products’ sales margin. This, as well as Oil Product margins that remained strong, were reflected positively in our 2023 estimates, but we did not make any substantial changes to our medium-term estimates.

Neste produces transport fuel and renewable fuels. Today, the largest operations and extraction are held in the Nordic market, where the company is active in the entire value chain, from extraction to delivery to port depots. In addition, the opportunity is given for direct sales where customers can pick up fuel at selected stations. The largest market is in the Nordic region, and the company is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures2023-02-08

202223e24e
Revenue25,707.426,623.924,158.0
growth-%69.7 %3.6 %-9.3 %
EBIT (adj.)2,898.02,748.12,843.3
EBIT-% (adj.)11.3 %10.3 %11.8 %
EPS (adj.)3.022.912.97
Dividend1.521.461.50
Dividend %3.5 %5.4 %5.6 %
P/E (adj.)14.39.29.0
EV/EBITDA11.36.55.9

Forum discussions

News Powered by Cision Neste laajentaa merkittävästi julkista suurteholatausverkostoaan – uusia... Neste Oyj, Uutinen, 16.6.2026 [] Kaupunkialueilla...
20 hours ago
by Cadel
20
Having looked at the chart lately, I’ll answer this as a professional bagholder. Peace in Iran = Neste drops. Bombs in Iran = Neste drops. Rain...
21 hours ago
by Nightshade
3
I wonder how much the Iran situation will eventually affect Neste’s price; will the red days continue badly, or is a declaration of peace such...
yesterday
by Zesvel
0
Three Mile Island is a far cry from the ambitious Finnish climate targets mentioned in Anttonen’s interview, although nuclear power and climate...
6/8/2026, 9:09 PM
by Marky Mark
5
Microsoft is trying to get Three Mile Island Unit 1 back up and running. Wärtsilä is selling gas and multi-fuel engines for data center startup...
6/8/2026, 7:37 PM
11
Why wouldn’t they fit together? What other industry would be a better fit? I’m not entirely convinced by this data center boom myself, but nothing...
6/8/2026, 6:26 PM
by Marky Mark
3
Thanks for sharing the Anttonen interview. Such typical behavior in complex, large-scale matters. Politicians and leaders promise everything...
6/8/2026, 5:16 PM
by Camelman
13