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Research

NIBE Q3'24: Signs of recovery but risk/reward is thin

By Lucas MattssonAnalyst
Nibe Industrier
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NIBE’s Q3 result was operationally slightly below our expectations, and we made small revisions to our short- and medium-term estimates. However, the company's outlook continues to show signs of a recovery in the destocking situation, but overall, the current year and at least the first half of next year will still be challenging. Eventually, demand at the manufacturer level will better correspond to underlying end consumer demand and the normalization of capacity utilization and the cost savings program should provide leverage for profitability improvements in the medium term. In our view, given the ongoing uncertainties in the operating environment, the stock is already sufficiently priced in for earnings growth (2025e P/E: 29x).

Nibe Industrier operates in the manufacturing industry and focuses on the development, manufacture and distribution of heat pumps and energy solutions. The company's products are aimed at private individuals and companies looking for energy-efficient solutions. The business is global with a main presence in Europe. Nibe Industrier was founded in 1989 and has its headquarters in Markaryd, Sweden.

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Key Estimate Figures2024-11-18

202324e25e
Revenue46,649.040,580.643,917.8
growth-%16.4 %-13.0 %8.2 %
EBIT (adj.)7,069.03,150.75,211.2
EBIT-% (adj.)15.2 %7.8 %11.9 %
EPS (adj.)2.420.651.74
Dividend0.650.350.55
Dividend %0.9 %1.0 %1.5 %
P/E (adj.)29.256.120.9
EV/EBITDA18.222.311.9
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