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Research

Nokia: Cash flow-based valuation is not attractive

By Atte RiikolaAnalyst
Nokia
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Overall, Nokia's Q4 results and outlook for 2024 were broadly in line with expectations. We saw no need for significant changes to our earnings forecasts at the group level, and which is why we found the share price reaction (+11%) on earnings day surprising. The valuation of the stock still looks moderate on adjusted earnings, but not particularly attractive in light of the free cash flow burdened by restructuring costs in the coming years.

Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

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Key Estimate Figures2024-01-25

202324e25e
Revenue22,279.021,711.221,889.0
growth-%-10.6 %-2.5 %0.8 %
EBIT (adj.)2,375.02,490.22,419.6
EBIT-% (adj.)10.7 %11.5 %11.1 %
EPS (adj.)0.290.330.32
Dividend0.130.140.16
Dividend %4.3 %1.9 %2.2 %
P/E (adj.)10.622.122.5
EV/EBITDA5.313.913.5

Forum discussions

Would you like to expand on this thought more? When do you estimate that NVIDIA could bring demand for NI? The MI side is already known.
2 hours ago
by Lexus
5
Capacity issues are real, but suppliers are already building new production lines to meet Nokia’s demand. NI’s business looks good now. Watch...
9 hours ago
by AquaVitux
11
Back in August, when buying the stock at around €3.50, I wouldn’t have easily believed that the price would double in less than a year. Junk...
20 hours ago
by TemeMOME
15
sounds utopian, but it’s not actually far off, two “trade shows” next week, and even if nothing is heard from Nvidia’s GTC, new products at ...
21 hours ago
by ruuki
7
Already $8.63 in the US, will it break 10 still this month?
21 hours ago
by Nokia2024
3
Yep, back then it was a pain trade towards €1.30. Now, however, looking ahead, the pain trade is now to the upside - how far, we’ll see soon
21 hours ago
by Prototyping
1
There is no doubt that Nokia was in a dire situation in 2012. It was a crisis, to say the least. But at the same time, it was a good time to...
21 hours ago
by MFA
0
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