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Research

Sampo: Still not hopping off

Sampo
Download report (PDF)

Sampo's Q1 result exceeded our forecast thanks to strong development in If P&C and Mandatum. However, the beat came through certain non-recurring factors and investment income. Thus, the report didn't cause major estimate revisions.

Sampo is the leading property and casualty insurance group in the Nordic region and a major operator in the growing digital P&C insurance market in the UK. Sampo Group has around 9 million customers, and it employs 15,000 people.  The Group’s insurance revenue totalled EUR 9.1 billion in 2025 of which the Nordic market represented 75 per cent. The Group’s operations are diversified by geography, line of business, and customer group. Sampo Group operates in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, the UK, and the Baltic countries. Its largest customer groups are private customers in the Nordics and in the UK, representing in total over 65 per cent of the Group's insurance revenue. The Group is also a leading provider of P&C insurance in Nordic commercial and industrial businesses.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures2022-05-04

202122e23e
Revenue9,746.010,248.49,577.2
growth-%15.9 %5.2 %-6.5 %
EBIT (adj.)2,190.01,835.11,593.0
EBIT-% (adj.)22.5 %17.9 %16.6 %
EPS (adj.)0.520.450.41
Dividend0.740.330.52
Dividend %9.3 %3.6 %5.8 %
P/E (adj.)15.420.122.0
EV/EBITDA7.512.813.9

Forum discussions

OP published a list of potential profit warners this morning. Sampo made it onto the “Prerequisites for a positive profit warning” list, along...
5/25/2026, 6:45 AM
by Cadel
49
Tomi’s tweet about Sampo leaving the Nasdaq OMX Stockholm index and SSAB taking its place. https://x.com/zijoittaja/status/2058783464615280744
5/25/2026, 5:37 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
15
Absolutely! I have that on my to-do list. We’ll make a proper update on this before the holidays
5/18/2026, 7:02 AM
by Sauli Vilen
60
Hi @Sauli_Vilen ! It’s already been 5.5 years, but could you reflect on this “Sampo in 5 years” forecast of yours from August 2020?
5/18/2026, 6:50 AM
by Mika
22
I posted the original Swedish text here on the Forum’s Sampo thread, and then suddenly it turned into Finnish, containing that translation which...
5/12/2026, 6:12 AM
by PörssiPatruuna
35
I read the same analysis in Swedish, and that 6% refers to the dividend yield including buybacks (see below). Growth is also forecasted; the...
5/12/2026, 5:11 AM
by Timo Huhtamäki
38
The dividend and buybacks already achieve this. So, is no earnings growth expected at all?
5/12/2026, 4:36 AM
by Sfinski
2