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Research

The glass is half full

By Antti ViljakainenHead of Research
Valmet
Download report (PDF)

We find the overall picture of Valmet’s Q1 report neutral, even though there was strong discord in the businesses, especially in terms of orders and demand outlook. However, we prefer to see the glass as half full, as the stable businesses that are important for Valmet's result and value develop at least reasonably, which compensates for the headwind caused by the weakness of the device businesses' orders and order outlook, especially for next year. After the report, the decreases in earnings forecasts were minor at Group level. We believe that the upside in Valmet's low valuation and the good dividend yield of nearly 6% still generate a higher expected return than the required return on a one-year scope.

Valmet supplies technologies, automation and lifecycle services to process industries globally, including pulp, paper and energy. The company operates globally and supports customers from initial capital equipment delivery through decades of operation. Its business model is based on a large installed base, long-term customer relationships and recurring services.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures2024-02-08

202324e25e
Revenue5,532.05,423.55,267.2
growth-%9.0 %-2.0 %-2.9 %
EBIT (adj.)598.0593.5611.0
EBIT-% (adj.)10.8 %10.9 %11.6 %
EPS (adj.)2.312.192.30
Dividend1.351.401.45
Dividend %5.2 %4.8 %5.0 %
P/E (adj.)11.313.212.6
EV/EBITDA8.48.57.9

Forum discussions

I wouldn’t want to be resistant to change, but these Bioneer products from Valmet feel exceptionally greenwashed. I don’t know if it makes sense...
12 hours ago
by Pro Perty
10
Thank you! This is indeed a topic I intend to ask Valmet about.
18 hours ago
by Antti Viljakainen
6
@Antti_Viljakainen Demand for paper and board machines has been depressed for a long time. Does the CEO see an increase in customer activity...
19 hours ago
by enska
5
Following Valmet’s results on Friday, the plan is to conduct an interview with Thomas. If the community has any question suggestions, I can ...
20 hours ago
by Antti Viljakainen
20
News Powered by Cision Valmetin automaatio optimoi uusiutuvan energian tuotantoa ja joen virtaaman... Valmet Oyj:n ammattilehdistötiedote 2....
21 hours ago
by Cadel
12
News Powered by Cision Valmet lanseeraa uudet Bioneer‑puristintelan pinnoitteet, joilla on pienempi... Valmet Oyj:n ammattilehdistötiedote 29...
1/29/2026, 9:15 AM
by Cadel
13
Inderes Tavoitehinnan ja suosituksen tulkinta - Inderes Hei, Kiitos mainiosta analyysityöstänne ja videoista. Voisitteko tarkentaa, mitä tavoitehinta...
1/27/2026, 9:46 AM
by Jussi Koskinen
1
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