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The glass is half full

VALMTResearch2024-05-06 18:12
Antti ViljakainenHead of Research
Discuss
Download report (PDF)

We find the overall picture of Valmet’s Q1 report neutral, even though there was strong discord in the businesses, especially in terms of orders and demand outlook. However, we prefer to see the glass as half full, as the stable businesses that are important for Valmet's result and value develop at least reasonably, which compensates for the headwind caused by the weakness of the device businesses' orders and order outlook, especially for next year. After the report, the decreases in earnings forecasts were minor at Group level. We believe that the upside in Valmet's low valuation and the good dividend yield of nearly 6% still generate a higher expected return than the required return on a one-year scope.

Valmet supplies technologies, automation and lifecycle services to process industries globally, including pulp, paper and energy. The company operates globally and supports customers from initial capital equipment delivery through decades of operation. Its business model is based on a large installed base, long-term customer relationships and recurring services.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures2024-02-08

202324e25e
Revenue5,532.05,423.55,267.2
growth-%9.0 %-2.0 %-2.9 %
EBIT (adj.)598.0593.5611.0
EBIT-% (adj.)10.8 %10.9 %11.6 %
EPS (adj.)2.312.192.30
Dividend1.351.401.45
Dividend %5.2 %4.9 %5.1 %
P/E (adj.)11.313.012.4
EV/EBITDA8.48.47.7

Forum discussions

On the other hand, the stock exchange release implies that the need for reductions is focused particularly on the Biomaterials and Services ...
13 hours ago
by Jahkaaja
9
Cutting management layers in an organization of just under 20,000 people. Good thing they are pruning where there isn’t enough demand.
14 hours ago
by Tunturisusi
11
Those who were close to retirement age were probably already let go in the previous couple of rounds.
14 hours ago
by Pro Perty
2
That need to reduce 130 people will go entirely through retirements, since the total headcount in Finland is 5,600. If people’s careers span...
16 hours ago
by Jukka
12
I feel sorry for the Valmet employees. In many locations, there must be yet another round of co-determination negotiations (YT-neuvottelut) ...
yesterday
by Pro Perty
23
But in the meantime (the now traditional little cheese-slicing, before the next cheese-slicing rounds, November - January) valmet.com Valmet...
yesterday
by VarrenBuffett
10
News Powered by Cision Sheets Unlimited parantaa aaltopahvin käyryyden hallintaa ja tuotannon... Valmet Oyj:n ammattilehdistötiedote 12.8.2026...
8/13/2026, 5:35 AM
by Cadel
24