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Analyst Comment

Swedish clothing market grew well in March

Lindex 1404

Source: Svensk Handel *Inderes’ estimate

The March figures for the Swedish clothing market were published this morning. Sales grew by 6.5% from last year. In our opinion, the timing of Easter may be reflected in the figures for March-April compared to last year. In the first three months of the year, the market has grown by 2%. 

Sweden accounts for more than half of the Lindex chain’s sales

Sweden is Lindex's largest market and accounts for more than half of the sales of the Lindex chain (but not the whole group which is also called Lindex). Our Q1'25 revenue forecast for the Lindex segment is a good 1% growth in local currencies. Market development in Sweden in January-March was 2%, so slightly higher. Women's clothing, which plays a major role at Lindex, has grown by as much as 9% in the first three months of the year, and also by price range, the segments relevant to Lindex have performed better than the market as a whole. The development of SEK and NOK, which together account for around 70% of the Lindex segment’s sales, also affects the company’s figures. The FX impact is slightly negative in Q1’25 in our estimates and turns positive thereafter. For the Group as a whole, Lindex has guided for 0-4% growth in local currencies this year.

Sweden is also the main market for Björn Borg

Sweden remains the company’s largest market, accounting for approximately 35% of total revenue. We estimate that Björn Borg will achieve around 6% year-on-year growth in Sweden for Q1’25, above the 2% growth expected for the broader Swedish clothing market during the same period. This growth is primarily expected to be driven by strong performance in the company’s e-commerce channel, which we estimate to grow by around 17% year-on-year. Meanwhile, the wholesale segment is forecasted to see relatively stable growth of approximately 5%.

What we find particularly encouraging in the recently published figures for the Swedish clothing market is the strong performance of the footwear category, which grew by nearly 10% in March. Björn Borg brought the footwear category fully in-house last year, and as we have noted previously, we see this category as a key growth driver going forward.

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Lindex Group
Björn Borg

Forum discussions

It’s not very encouraging if it remains part of the group. Even with a break-even result, the Lindex division could already be listed separately...
1 hour ago
by Float__
1
Or roughly, revenue would need to grow by €50m at the same margin level without fixed costs increasing. Reaching break-even is achievable within...
1 hour ago
by Seinäkadun Keisari
1
If we play around with the numbers a bit, a 5% EBIT isn’t a completely impossible idea, IF 1) revenue growth reaches at least the level of inflation...
2 hours ago
by Float__
8
It certainly looks hopeless. For the department stores, a break-even result could be reached with an EBIT of approximately 7%, assuming that...
3 hours ago
by Float__
2
In my opinion, the buyer should be paid to take Stockmann off our hands, at any cost. Stockmann is costing Lindex about €1 per share, so even...
3 hours ago
by Arvoansa1
3
Although the Stockmann division barely became “profitable” at 1.2 million, however… The financial statements state that the goal for Stockmann...
4 hours ago
by Tnokka
2
Now, now… That was a tooth pulled out with its roots. Soon everything will be fine again. You are right that the department store business as...
yesterday
by Aili
7
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