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Aktieanalys utförd av tredje part

Formpipe: Surprisingly high Q4 costs to normalise in 2025 - ABG

Formpipe Software

Detta är en aktieanalys producerad av tredje part och reflekterar därför nödvändigtvis ej våra åsikter och värderingar

Ladda ner rapporten (PDF)
Weaker Q4 than we expected, on higher opex, but ACV was strong
We cut '25e-'26e adj. EBIT by 5-8% on higher cost assumptions
14% adj. EBIT margin in '25e (vs. 7% '24), 17x EV/EBIT adj.


Strong ACV number, but elevated costs

Formpipe is generally a company with comparatively low quarterly earnings volatility. However, Q4 contained several surprises: 1) costs were higher than we expected (adj. opex +7% y-o-y vs. +4% y-o-y in Q3) due to increased delivery capacity, higher marketing expenses, and costs for merging the two public business units (Denmark and Sweden); and 2) despite a weak contribution from Temenos, SaaS ACV reached a record high of SEK 12.5m, mainly related to the ERP business (mainly Dynamics, but also an interesting deal with IFS). Meanwhile, Delivery revenues, which were weak in H2'23-H1'24, continued to improve. Overall, sales was in line with our estimates, but higher opex resulted in a -58% y-o-y decline in adj. EBIT to SEK 7m (ABGSCe SEK 18m). Encouragingly, Formpipe has taken further measures to strengthen profitability, including layoffs of ~12 people in Lasernet, which will gradually bear fruit in 2025.
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