Recent developments in Hexicon’s project portfolio have been mixed, in our view. While the MunmuBaram project finally received regulatory approval, the Swedish Government rejected two key projects, affecting the valuation negatively. Furthermore, Hexicon is still in need of immediate cash infusion, and we believe it will be difficult for the company to overcome the downward pressure from the expected equity issue, the high cash burn, and the remaining question marks concerning the structure of the MunmuBaram divestment. Against this backdrop, we believe that the near-term risk/reward profile is unfavorable. Consequently, we revise our recommendation to Sell (was Reduce) and lower our target price to SEK 0.14 (was 0.23), reflecting the negative impact of the reduced net capacity in the project portfolio and aligning with our SOTP valuation.

Hexicons VD Marcus Thor intervjuas av analytiker Lucas Mattsson om Q3 rapporten från Hexicon som publicerades idag. Marcus sammanfattar det tredje kvartalet, pratar om åtgärdsplanen och även hur regeringsbeslutet i Sverige kom som en överraskning.

Hexicon will publish its Q3 results on Friday at 8:00 am CET. We are interested in any updates on potential divestments, with a particular focus on the important MunmuBaram project. In addition, we are looking for the company's comments on how the recent news that the Swedish government has rejected applications for two of Hexicon's projects affects the value of the project portfolio and the company's other project in Sweden.

Given the ongoing weak market conditions, which have slowed the pace of divestment processes, and the continued lack of news regarding regulatory approval for the change of control of the key MunmuBaram project, we believe that operational risks have increased. In addition, the falling share price has increased financing risks (equity issue 1-2x current market cap expected in the next ~3-6 months) and is starting to cause uncomfortably high volatility in expected returns and dilution, and we wait for these risks to subside.

Hexicons Q2 rapport kom inte med någon stor överraskning. Analytiker Lucas berättar om hans tankar kring det andra kvartalet från Hexicon med stort fokus på Munmubaram projektet. Frågor eller tankar kring Hexicon? Varmt välkommen in på forumet där analytiker Lucas alltid finns tillgänglig.

Hexicon's Q2 report contained no major surprises. The company is still awaiting regulatory approvals for the transfer of ownership of the key MunmuBaram project. As a result, we expect the establishment of a long-term ownership structure for the project, which could provide near-term financing and improve cash flow for project development, to be delayed until 2025. In addition, the immediate need for a cash infusion is forcing Hexicon to explore other financing options on uncertain terms. Against this backdrop, we believe that the near-term risk/reward profile is not favorable.

Ett stort fokus på situationen i Sydkorea och ett marknadsklimat som visar små små signaler på förbättring säger Hexicons VD Marcus Thor. Hexicon publicerade sin Q2 rapport 21/8 och det är just den som Inderes analytiker Lucas Mattsson och VD Marcus Thor behandlar. Hur är marknadsklimatet nu, utvecklingen i MunmuBaram samt finansiella positionen är ämnen som avhandlas.